Service Plays Saturday 10/2/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettorsworld

Early 3* Key Release

3* Stanford +7 over Oregon

The Oregon Ducks had a great year in 2009. They earned a trip to the Rose Bowl after winning the Pacific 10 with their final victory coming over Oregon State in the "Civil War" game. It was tough to gauge how much they would fall off this year with the loss of QB Jeremiah Masoli. So far, it appears they are even better. The Ducks are 4-0 and ranked #4 in the nation. They have blown out most of their opponents, but they have their toughest test to date this week when the Stanford Cardinal travel to play them. The Cardinal are also 4-0 and ranked #9 by the AP. Both of these teams have looked unstoppable, but something has got to give. Oregon is a 7 point favorite.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

5 STAR SPORTS PICKS

3% North Carolina State +4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RAS

1 UNIT* 131 Texas Tech/Iowa St. over 52
1 UNIT* 167 SMU/Rice over 54

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Harrison

CAMPUS LEGENDS

Iowa -7
Oregon -7
Oklahoma -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

northcoast underdog play of the week-florida+9

northcoast big dogs
navy
ball st
wake forest
rice
unlv

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MITguys


Toledo -3 (61.09%)

Vanderbilt +7.5 (59.87%)

Notre Dame -2.5 (59.39%)

Memphis +10.5 (56.76%)

Texas Tech -8 (56.99%)

Washington St +27 (54.46%)

North Texas -3 (54.15%)

Michigan -10.5 (52.66%)

Navy +10 (52.51%)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CKO
10 NORTHWESTERN over *Minnesota
With these two Big Ten programs heading in opposite directions, we concur with Big Ten scouts who urge us to buck a troubled Minnesota squad (recently suspended key WR Stoudemire) that has unexpectedly dropped 3 straight home games. In demoralizing 34-23 loss vs. MAC rep Northern Illinois (Huskies only 2-33 previous 35 vs. Big Ten!), the Gophers missed tons of tackles, had a holding penalty nullify a TD run, had a blocked punt, and couldn’t convert on a couple of 4th-and-one plunges. Moreover, UM’s new o.c. Horton (3rd in 3 years) is still hell-bent to establish a run attack despite rushing for fewer than 100 yds. in the last two games. And those skimpy numbers won’t improve vs. Cats’ active front 7, which has allowed 162 YR combined last 2 games. On other side, look for NW’s torrid dual threat QB Persa (80%, 8 TDs, just 1 int.) to dissect a young, unphysical Gopher defense (starting 7 frosh or sophs) unable to apply any pressure (meager 2 sacks TY). “Fire Brewster” chants (heard last week) sure to increase in volume after Fitzgerald’s squad goes to 10-2 vs. spread last 12 away from home.

10 NOTRE DAME over *Boston College
Notre Dame stepping down a level or two in class after facing Michigan, Michigan State and Stanford teams that are a combined 12-0 this season. Boston College is clearly in rebuilding mode, as red flags appearing every week. First BC was very sluggish offensively in non-cover wins against Weber State and Kent State, and then last Saturday’s disappointing shutout loss at the Eagles’ homecoming game at the hands of Virginia Tech has prompted a change. BC HC Frank Spaziani will bench starting QB Dave Shinskie in favor of either soph Mike Marscovetra or true frosh Chase Rettig. Not a good sign for Spaziani or the Eagle attack. ND QB Dayne Crist leads the 7th-ranked pass attack into Alumni Stadium, and he represents a huge edge for the Irish. Crist threw for 673 yards and 5 scores in the last two games, and he’ll have plenty of opportunities as BC QBs suffer through the learning curve, and the Eagle offense continues to go “three-and-out” far too often.

10 FLORIDA over *Alabama
Rare indeed is a chance to recommend Florida with the benefit of a bonus from the oddsmakers. To wit: the Gators haven’t been posted as an underdog since a 2007 date at LSU, and have received points only three times (all covers) since HC Urban Meyer arrived in 2005. Moreover, Meyer’s teams at Utah and Florida have covered all seven of their chances as an underdog since 2003. And the Gators seem to be catching an updraft, especially after true frosh QB/ WR Trey Burton emerged as a force when scoring a school-record 6 TDs in last week’s 48-14 dismemberment of Kentucky. It’s tough to pick against Bama, but some cracks appearing in Tide foundation, especially in Nick Saban’s rebuilt “D” that has registered only 4 sacks thus far and sprang many leaks against Arkansas’ Ryan Mallett (357 YP) last week. With UF hellbent to avenge bitter SEC title game loss last December, it’s hard to pass up Gators at this price.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RED SHEET

Texas Tech 45 - IOWA STATE 24
Line opened at TexasTech minus 9, and is now minus 8. This contest sets up very nicely, in light of the humbling of the normally highly productive offense of the Raiders in their debacle vs Texas. As we wrote in Pointwise, much needed bye followed loss, so look for kinks to be worked out, as they still have talent galore, even if they don't have Leach prowling the sidelines. Thus, a patented bounceback setup vs the proper opponent. The Cyclones have failed in both dog roles thus far, rank 106th in total "O", & 99th in scoring. And have an ailing QB in Arnaud. RATING: TEXAS TECH 89

BAYLOR 36 - Kansas 13
Line opened at Baylor minus 8½, and is now minus 10. A week ago, we had the Bears on all 3 services, including a Phone 4 Star Play, & they came in like clockwork. Have yet to stay with the powers, but certainly show that they are an excellent play in the role of solid chalk (13-pt & 9½-pt covers thus far). Return of do-everything QB Griffin is the key, of course (268 yds & 3 TDs last week). The Jayhawks have fallen on hard times, & altho they stand at 2-2 in the early going, fact of the matter is that they are green (suffered 12 sacks in first 3 gms), & Baylor "D" improved. RATING: BAYLOR 89

Navy 24 - AIR FORCE 23
Line opened at Air Force minus 10½, and is now minus 10. The dog has been king in this hard fought series, which has seen 6 of last 9 decided by 3, 3, 3, 7, 6, & 3 pts, with the only oddball being 31-20 in '07 (an average final score of 26-21, with the Middies taking all 7, both SU & ATS). By the way, this is the largest spread in this rivalry since '03's 14-pt line. Oh, the Middies have covered the last 7 vs the Falcons. We are very aware of the fact that AirForce reversed a horrid trend just 3 weeks back, in destroying BYU, as the Coogs had formerly owned them. So Mids will be ready. RATING: NAVY 88

HAWAII 44 - Louisiana Tech 24
Line opened at Hawaii minus 11, and is now minus 9½. This series is owned by the host squad (7-1 ATS), & with the Bulldogs of LaTech still trying to adjust to coaching changes, this trip to the islands couldn't have come at a more inopportune time. The host has ruled in Tech games of late, covering 20-of-26, which is reflected in that 48-16 bashing in their only guest shot so far (TexasA&M). Enter the Rainbows, which represent just the latest in a long line of this school's proficient aerial editions. They lead the land in passing (405.5 PYpg), & QB Moniz off a 6-TD game. RATING: HAWAII 88

UCLA 56 - Washington State 7
Line opened at UCLA minus 27, and is now minus 26. As we wrote in Pointwise, we've been on the wrong end of a few better-than-average Cougar showings of late, always seeming to catch them as they manage to sneak under the spot. Although this may seem another nice spot for WSt to stay under the 4-TD line, catching the Bruins off LW's shocking rout of powerful Texas. However those early Uclan losses to KansasSt & Stanford (9 & 29 pt ATS setbacks), have served to keep their feet firmly entrenched. Cal on deck, but Bruins will take care of business. RATING: UCLA 88

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Sweep

COLLEGE KEY SELECTIONS

4* Florida St over VIRGINIA
FSU is 13-2 all-time vs UVA (10-5 ATS) but last met in ‘06 (33-0 FSU shutout). FSU has outgained UVA in every gm S/’97 (10 gms, +205 ypg) but the Cavs did pull the upset 26-21 in FSU’s last trip here in ‘05. FSU rolled to an easy 31-0 win over WF LW, delivering a 4H Key Selection on these pages. The Noles pitched their first ACC shutout S/’03 holding WF to just 185 yds (2nd gm in a row opp under 200 ttl yds). Ponder threw for 200 for the 1st time TY and is now avg 168ypg (61%) with a 7-1 ratio. His fav targets are Easterling (14, 17.0) and Reed (23, 9.1) while the top rushers are Jones (284, 7.7) and Thomas (185, 5.6). LW UVA had a record setting day in their 48-7 win over VMI. The Cavs rolled up 341 pass yds, the most in a gm S/’03. Three diff QB’s threw a TD in the same gm for the 1st time since before ‘50 and it was the 1st time ever at UVA that 2 Fr threw a TD in the same gm. UVA finished with 25-8 FD and 341-133 yd edges. QB Verica avg 232 (61%) with a 5-1 ratio. His top rec’s are Burd (18, 14.4) and Inman (15, 14.3). The top rushers are Payne (217, 5.4, 5) and Jones (207, 6.5). While FSU has all the edges (off #19-79, D #14-38 and ST #16-86) and we’ll go right back to the Noles this week. FORECAST: Florida St 31 VIRGINIA 17

3* SOUTHERN MISS over Marshall
The last 3 have been decided by a total of 15 pts. LY, MU had the yd edge (+69) but all’d 7 sks, a KR TD and was also -3 TO’s in the 27-20 defeat. MU HC Holliday earned his 1st victory LW surviving on the final play for a 24-23 win over Ohio. MU all’d a 36 yd TD pass with no time left, but OU’s 2 pt conv fell inc. S Miss rushed for 192 yds and forced 4 TO’s holding off LA Tech LW for a 13-12 win. While the visitor has won 3 in a row SU and last time here Marshall pulled the outright upset as a 2H on these pages and a Big Dog Play on the PPH. The Herd is 13-26 ATS as an AD and 8-11-1 ATS in CUSA AG’s (5-15 SU). The Eagles do have a crucial home meeting with EC on deck but have the talent edge here and should prevail. We won’t let LW’s close win for SM scare us as they are a strong home team while Marshall has struggled on the road. FORECAST: SOUTHERN MISS 34 Marshall 17

3* Ohio St over ILLINOIS
IL is 1-15 SU in B10 openers incl LY’s 30-0 loss to OSU in a rain stormin Columbus. The visitor is 8-2 SU in the series! The L/4 times hosting OSU, IL has faced a #13 ranked or higher Bucks squad covering 3. OSU has won its L/7 here (last loss in Champaign in ‘91) by an avg of 29-11 but is 3-6 ATS overall vs UI. However, OSU is 15-4 ATS in B10 RG’s and 15-5 as a B10 AF. IL rFr QB Scheelhaase is avg 127 ypg (54%) with a 3-3 ratio and 204 rush yd. RB Leshoure has 398 yd (6.9) incl 4 straight 100 yd gms. Illini D allowed MU’s QB Gabbert 281 pass yd (71%, 2-0 ratio) and NI’s Harnish 208 pass (76%, 117 rush yd) but faces its biggest challenge yet vs Heisman contender Pryor (235, 66%, 10-2 ratio, 269 rush yd) who accounted for 6 TD’s in LW’s win over EM. OSU scored its most pts S/’50 (73) with a 645-248 yd edge with the 2nd and 3rd string QB’s also leading TD drives. After allowing just 2 off TD’s coming in, OSU actually allowed 3 TD drives to the Eagles. We respect the series history but also OSU’s spread streak (4-0 ATS TY) so we’ll keep our money on the Scarlet and Gray. FORECAST: Ohio St 41 ILLINOIS 13

OTHER SELECTIONS

2* Michigan over INDIANA
LY UM survived Indy 36-33 despite the most yds (467) and pts theHoosiers have had in the series as they got inside UM’s 20 5x but kicked 4 FG’s and missed 1. IU has dropped 16 straight to the Wolves and UM has been favored by an avg of 20 ppg the L/19Y. IU is 1-6 ATS in B10 openers and 12-22 as a HD. The Wolves have been a B10 AF just once under Rich Rod (0-1 LY). With just a 21-14 UM lead over BG LY’s QB st’r Forcier came off the bench to hit 12-12 for an inj’d Robinson (knee) in the Wolves 65-21 win in which they had a 721-283 yd edge. Rod said the NCAA’s rush leader Robinson (688, 8.7) could’ve ret’d and he is avg 183 ypg (71%) with a 4-1 ratio. UM is #35 pass eff D (264, 56%, 5-6 ratio). Chappell (#6 NCAA pass eff) threw 4 TD passes in Indy’s 1st 5 poss as IU jumped out to a 35-13 3Q lead over Akron but they did not cover as they all’d a late 3Q TD and ended the game at the UA4. IU is #1 B10 pass off (304) but is last in rushing (113, 3.9) with weaker #’s each wk vs a soft sked (NCAA’s easiest at #120 thus far). Hoosiers are allowing 177 rush ypg (5.2) and haven’t faced an offense with the speed of the Wolves. We’ve cashed many times going vs the Hoosiers at home vs the B10’s “Big Two” (OSU and Mich, IU is 0-5 ATS) and will continue to ride that trend. FORECAST: Michigan 51 INDIANA 30

2* BAYLOR over Kansas
The HT is 8-1 SU all-time but just 1-3 ATS the L/4. BU was waxed in the last meeting in ‘07 vs a #20 Orange Bowl bound KU squad, 58-10 (+26’) in Lawrence. The Jayhawks have never won in Waco (0-4) only coming up a combined 4 pts short the L/2. KU is 0-5 SU/ATS on the road including a 31-16 Friday night loss at SM 2 wks ago in QB Webb’s 1st road start. LW KU took care of business in a 42-16 win over NMSt in which the Hawks had 501-275 yd and 26-14 FD edges. RFr Webb is avg 189 (62%) with a 5-1 ratio in his 1st 3 sts. True frosh RB Sims has 290 (5.5) while also starting the L/3. KU is #5 by the NCAA’s standard in pass D (129) but #97 in our pass eff D (59%, 2-3) which takes into account the opps faced. Despite a 60 min weather delay, BU rebounded from the TCU debacle to win 30-13 at Rice with a 456-296 yd edge. QB Griffin is avg 243 ypg (59%) with an 8-2 ratio and 157 rush yd. BU’s D has allowed just 1 TD TY vs tms who aren’t TCU. BU has edges across the board and gets 1 win closer to their bowl goal. FORECAST: BAYLOR 31 Kansas 17

2* W MICHIGAN (+) over Idaho
WM leads the series 2-0 SU (1-0 ATS) as the Broncos defeated the Vandals 27-16 in the first meeting in Kalamazoo (in ‘72) before WM topped UI 51-28 (-8) in the Kibbie Dome in ‘08 as a 4H LPS Winner for us. UI is on its 3rd AG in 4 wks and is in a rare trip to the Midwest but LY did beat NI 34-31 (+15’) with the Huskies fresh off their upset of Purdue. UI is coming off a tough 36-34 (-7’) loss at Colo St (FG as time expired) despite a 347 yd and 3 TD outing by QB Enderle who is avg 258 ypg (65%) with a 7-7 ratio. The Broncos are fresh off a bye and will host the Vandals for HC here. QB Carder is avg 307 ypg (64%) with an 8-6 ratio and is #7 in the NCAA in ttl off (321 ypg) and has a pair of WR’s with 25 catches each in White (27 rec, 14.1) and Nunez (25 rec, 8.2). UI covered its first 3 gms TY before LW’s loss while WM is on a 3-13 ATS skid. With Idaho still learning how to win consistently, a last second loss will be tough to overcome especially on a second straight road gm. WM, off a bye, for their HC crowd. FORECAST: W MICHIGAN (+) 37 Idaho 27

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pointwise

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES

MICHIGAN over Indiana RATING: 1
BAYLOR over Kansas RATING: 1
NAVY over Air Force RATING: 2
UTEP over New Mexico RATING: 3
NEVADA over Unlv RATING: 4
CENTRAL MICHIGAN over Ball State RATING: 4
BOISE STATE over New Mexico State RATING: 5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Playbook
5* BEST BET Florida over ALABAMA by 6

We cashed our 5* NCAA Game of the Month on our late phones last week as Arkansas gave the defending national champs all they could handle. We’ll double down in this week’s Newsletter as the Gators more than amply fit the bill as our Rest assured Meyer and company will be primed with revenge from last year’s SEC title game. If revenge is the motivating factor, then the following numbers are just icing on the cake. Florida is a near-perfect 8-0-1 ATS as a dog of two or more points and 5-1 ATS versus undefeated opposition from Game Four out. Meyer, himself, is a moneymaking 12-4 ATS as a dog, including 7-0 ATS the last seven with both Utah and Florida. Remember: the bigger the foes the harder they fall, and the Florida head coach is a no-nonsense 6-0 ATS versus .800 or greater foes and a determined 15-4 SU and 14-3-2 ATS versus unbeaten opposition. The Elephants have brought home the cash in the series of late (5-1-1 ATS last seven) but not surprisingly the schools have spilt the last four meetings on the SU scoreboard. The Tide will certainly look forward to returning to Tuscaloosa after last week’s fight in Fayetteville but Bryant-Denny Stadium has been anything but Sweet Home for Alabama backers as the Crimson are 0-5 ATS at home off back-to back road games. As always, our database chimes in with its weekly anti-champion find as it notes: defending national champs are 5-13-1 ATS in Game Five if they are undefeated, including 0-6-1 ATS the last seven, 1-7 ATS at home and 1-10-1 ATS when favored by 28 or less points. Look for Florida’s newfound weapon ‘Double’ Trey Burton (6 TD’s last week versus Kentucky) to come up big. Gators outright

4* BEST BET Michigan over INDIANA by 3

While Rich Rodriguez didn’t exactly rip through his non-conference schedule like Sherman marched through Atlanta, the Wolverines are 4-0 for the second straight season under his command. Now it’s time to see if his troops can finally do some damage in Big Ten play. While Denard Robinson seems to be firing on all cylinders and is probable for this tilt, our database notes that Rich Rod has been shooting nothing but blanks when it comes to conference play with the Maize and Blue, sporting a 3-13 SU and 3-12-1 ATS mark, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS as a favorite and 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS off a SU win. One of those SU wins was a three-pointer in Ann Arbor last year over these same Hoosiers as 19-point chalk – despite being outstatted, 467-372. If you’re still planning on going to war with the Wolverines, we’ll need to arm you with these tidbits of information: Michigan is 0-4 ATS away off back-to-back home games, 0-3 ATS in Game Five and 1-7 ATS versus a conference foe with revenge while Indiana HC Bill Lynch is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS at home off an ATS loss of more than five points. While that should be more than enough ammo to back these juicy dogs, our AWESOME ANGLE puts the finishing touches on this one. Join us as we march with the hosts – shoelaces required!

3* BEST BET BYU over UTAH ST by 14

BYU disappointed us last week in their home loss to Nevada but we’ll show the Mormons ‘Big Love’ for at least another week as HC Bronco Mendenhall looks to rebound from his first-ever three game losing streak. The six-year head coach is now married to freshman QB Jake Heaps with junior signal-caller Riley Nelson lost for the season with a shoulder injury. If this 6-point road-favorite role has you concerned, it shouldn’t: Mendenhall’s pre-nup points out the fact that he is 16-0 SU and 12-4 ATS versus a foe off back-to-back SU losses. There is also value aplenty in this contest. Since Utah State became a lined-team in 1999, the Cougars have never been favored by less than 17 points in this series. In fact, the last time BYU arrived in Logan two short years ago, they were installed as a healthy 29-point choice. We’d lose our liquor license if we didn’t recommend laying less than a touchdown with a bunch of Mormons who have won 22 of 24 SU in this series, including 20 of the last 21 and 10 straight. We’re not sure if Bronco’s boys will be playing in the Las Vegas Bowl for the fifth time in six years, but we are certain that our TUMBLIN’ DICE article on page two is just the tonic these Mormons need. We’ll drink to that – even if these Provo polygamists won’t. Lay the more than reasonable number under the Friday Night Lights.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nelly

COLLEGE KEY SELECTIONS

RATING 5 CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-17) over Ball State
RATING 4 CLEMSON (+3) over Miami, FL
RATING 3 OREGON (-7) over Stanford
RATING 2 RICE (+121⁄2) over Smu
RATING 2 HAWAII (-9) over Louisiana Tech
RATING 1 KENTUCKY (+21⁄2) over Mississippi
RATING 1 EASTERN MICHIGAN (+10) over Ohio

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GOLD SHEET EXTRA

VANDERBILT

Of the many technical “surprises” we uncover throughout the course of a season, perhaps none catch more off guard than Vanderbilt’s somewhat startling success vs. the number away from home. The Commodores are an impressive 20-7 vs. the line away since 2005, and an even more eye-opening 18-4 vs. the number as a visiting dog that span. Also included is a 7-1 spread mark in Vandy’s last 8 as a non-conference visitor. It all bodes well for Saturday’s trip to UConn, where the Huskies have covered just 2of their last 5 at “The Rentsch.”

NAVY

We know that Air Force is hellbent to end its protracted 7-game losing streak to hated service academy rival Navy. But we also know that the early number on this game forces us to take a had look at the Mids, who have not only dominated the Falcons in recent years (also no losses vs. the spread the last seven meetings), but are historically strong on the road (35-18 vs. points away from Annapolis since 2000) 29-17 in role away from Annapolis since 2000). Note that Navy is also a featured play in a variety of tech systems this week, including Rivalry Underdog, Power Underdog, Streakbusters, and College Coach as Underdog with HC Ken Niumatalolo.

UCLA

There’s been a switch in roles for HC Rick Neuheisel since arriving at UCLA two years ago. Once a noted underachiever as a favorite in earlier career stops at Colorado and Washington, Neuheisel has covered 7 of his last 8 as chalk with the Bruins, who host Washington State Saturday at the Rose Bowl. UCLA’s numbers at the Rose Bowl over the past six years are also extraordinary, standing 28-11 vs. the number the last 39 in Pasadena. And UCLA enters this weekend as the nation’s top “AFS” (Away From Spread) team over the past two weeks, with a whopping +28.75 that span.

HAWAII

Ever try booking a round trip from Ruston, LA to Honolulu with your travel agent? If you have, you wouldn’t wonder why the road team has had so much trouble in this series between far-flung WAC foes Hawaii and La Tech, as the visitor has failed to cover the last six meetings. So, it’s edge to the host Warriors this week, especially with the Bulldogs just 8-20 as a road underdog since 2005.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

Now that Florida Atlantic has proven it can cover on the road outside of the Sun Belt, we don’t mind giving the Owls a look as a hefty dog Saturday night in Tampa vs. USF. Howard Schnellenberger’s bunch has covered 18 of its last 29 away from Lockhart Stadium, while USF HC Skip Holtz is just 9-16 his last 25 tries as chalk at both ECU and with the Bulls.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gold Sheet

NCAAF KEY RELEASES

NORTH CAROLINA STATE by 6 over Virginia Tech
NAVY by 1 over Air Force
OHIO STATE by 30 over Illinois
TOLEDO by 14 over Wyoming

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 2

Game 105-106: Texas vs. Oklahoma (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 105.278; Oklahoma 105.609
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 4; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+4); Under

Game 107-108: Vanderbilt at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 81.894; Connecticut 90.904
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 9; 52
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-7); Over

Game 109-110: Ohio at Eastern Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 74.850; Eastern Michigan 60.495
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 14 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Ohio by 9; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-9); Over

Game 111-112: Ball State at Central Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 68.110; Central Michigan 90.708
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 22 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 16 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-16 1/2); Under

Game 113-114: Wisconsin at Michigan State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 96.459; Michigan State 95.345
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1; 55
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+2); Over

Game 115-116: Michigan at Indiana (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 95.243; Indiana 84.622
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 10 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Michigan by 11; 66
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+11); Under

Game 117-118: Northwestern at Minnesota (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 89.053; Minnesota 78.658
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 10 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 4 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-4 1/2); Under

Game 119-120: Virginia Tech at NC State (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 95.072; NC State 93.487
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 1 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 4; 55
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+4); Over

Game 121-122: East Carolina at North Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 87.973; North Carolina 94.312
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 11 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+11 1/2); Over

Game 123-124: Duke at Maryland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 79.199; Maryland 90.320
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 11; 55
Vegas Line: Maryland by 7 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-7 1/2); Under

Game 125-126: Tulane at Rutgers (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 65.940; Rutgers 88.365
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 22 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 14 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-14 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Temple at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 87.364; Army 82.701
Dunkel Line: Temple by 4 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Temple by 5; 42
Dunkel Pick: Army (+5); Over

Game 129-130: Georgia Tech at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 92.774; Wake Forest 85.612
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 7; 66
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 10; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+10); Over

Game 131-132: Texas Tech at Iowa State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 100.416; Iowa State 87.383
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 13; 50
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 7; 52
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-7); Under

Game 133-134: Kentucky at Mississippi (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 90.767; Mississippi 90.520
Dunkel Line: Even; 63
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3; 58
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+3); Over

Game 135-136: Tulsa at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 86.185; Memphis 73.931
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 12 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 10 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-10 1/2); Under

Game 137-138: Kansas at Baylor (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 80.765; Baylor 90.612
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 10; 47
Vegas Line: Baylor by 8 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-8 1/2); Under

Game 139-140: Kent State at Miami (OH) (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 75.259; Miami (OH) 74.118
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 1; 50
Vegas Line: Kent State by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+3); Over

Game 141-142: Idaho at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 79.459; Western Michigan 74.519
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 5; 61
Vegas Line: Idaho by 2 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-2 1/2); Over

Game 143-144: TCU at Colorado State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 108.966; Colorado State 69.403
Dunkel Line: TCU by 39 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: TCU by 33; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-33); Under

Game 145-146: Navy at Air Force (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 84.334; Air Force 100.112
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 16; 44
Vegas Line: Air Force by 9 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-9 1/2); Under

Game 147-148: Buffalo at Bowling Green (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 75.021; Bowling Green 81.104
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 6; 58
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-3 1/2); Over

Game 149-150: Notre Dame at Boston College (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 93.277; Boston College 89.083
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 4; 48
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-2); Over

Game 151-152: Tennessee at LSU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 91.590; LSU 105.522
Dunkel Line: LSU by 14; 41
Vegas Line: LSU by 16 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+16 1/2); Under

Game 153-154: Washington State at UCLA (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 65.254; UCLA 93.204
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 18; 56
Vegas Line: UCLA by 27 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+27 1/2); Over

Game 155-156: Ohio State at Illinois (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 108.992; Illinois 93.132
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 16; 46
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 18; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+18); Under

Game 157-158: Georgia at Colorado (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 93.813; Colorado 84.942
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 9; 45
Vegas Line: Georgia by 4 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-4 1/2); Under

Game 159-160: Northern Illinois at Akron (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 77.586; Akron 64.553
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 13; 51
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 14; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+14); Over

Game 161-162: UTEP at New Mexico (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 75.988; New Mexico 65.111
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 11; 66
Vegas Line: UTEP by 14 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+14 1/2); Over

Game 163-164: Arizona State at Oregon State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 92.266; Oregon State 97.933
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 5 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 3 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-3 1/2); Under

Game 165-166: Wyoming at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 76.308; Toledo 80.616
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 4 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Toledo by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-3); Under

Game 167-168: SMU at Rice (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 87.301; Rice 75.089
Dunkel Line: SMU by 12; 62
Vegas Line: SMU by 13; 54
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+13); Over

Game 169-170: Florida State at Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 93.585; Virginia 89.787
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 4; 43
Vegas Line: Florida State by 7; 48
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+7); Under

Game 171-172: Florida at Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 108.079; Alabama 120.053
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 12; 52
Vegas Line: Alabama by 9; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-9); Over

Game 173-174: Marshall at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 76.418; Southern Mississippi 87.098
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 10 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 10; 51
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-10); Over

Game 175-176: Penn State at Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 100.218; Iowa 104.180
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Iowa by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+7); Under

Game 177-178: Washington at USC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 92.904; USC 98.841
Dunkel Line: USC by 6; 68
Vegas Line: USC by 11; 60
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+11); Over

Game 179-180: Miami (FL) at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 97.640; Clemson 94.788
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 46
Vegas Line: Miami (FL); 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+3 1/2); Under

Game 181-182: Boise State at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 109.172; New Mexico State 59.416
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 49 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Boise State by 41; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-41); Over

Game 183-184: Nevada at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 102.917; UNLV 78.527
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 24 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Nevada by 20 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-20 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Stanford at Oregon (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 107.992; Oregon 118.456
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 10 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Oregon by 7; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-7); Under

Game 187-188: Louisiana Tech at Hawaii (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 77.479; Hawaii 79.701
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 2; 65
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 9 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+9 1/2); Over

Game 189-190: Florida International at Pittsburgh (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 74.311; Pittsburgh 99.035
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 24 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 19 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-19 1/2); Over

Game 191-192: Louisville at Arkansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 79.153; Arkansas State 73.656
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 5 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Louisville by 6; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+6); Under

Game 193-194: UL-Lafayette at North Texas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 65.841; North Texas 70.666
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 5; 47
Vegas Line: North Texas by 4; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-4); Under

Game 195-196: UL-Monroe at Auburn (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 66.790; Auburn 96.805
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 30; 55
Vegas Line: Auburn by 35; 53
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+35); Over

Game 197-198: Florida Atlantic at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 75.005; South Florida 94.312
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 19 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: South Florida by 21; 51
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+21); Over


OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 231-232: Alcorn State at Mississippi State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 40.778; Mississippi State 94.599
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 54
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 233-234: UC Davis at San Jose State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 54.296; San Jose State 76.595
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 235-236: Cal Poly at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 71.115; Fresno State 97.185
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 26
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr. Bob

Best Bets
#105 Texas (+3 1/2) 3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars at less than +3.
#124 Maryland (-7 1/2) 2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#127 Temple (-5) 2-Stars at -6 1/2 or less, 3-Stars at -4.
#138 Baylor (-9) 2-Stars at -10 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#163 Arizona State (+3 1/2) 2-Stars as an underdog.
#172 Alabama (-7 1/2) 2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#188 Hawaii (-8) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -11.

Strong Opinions
#112 Central Michigan (-17 1/2) Strong Opinion at -19 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -17.
#122 North Carolina (-13) Strong Opinion at -14 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -11.
#125-126 Tulane-Rutgers UNDER (43) Strong Opinion Under 41 or higher.
#129 Georgia Tech (-10) Strong Opinion at -10 or less.
#141 Idaho (-3) Strong Opinion at -3 or less.
#178 USC (-10) Strong Opinion at -11 or less.
#198 South Florida (-21) Strong Opinion at -21 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -20 or less.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RW Sports 176-181.5-26.5 (4-1)

10/02 Picks
birmingham - everton, draw, 3.3 @ ladbrokes
sunderland - man utd, 1st half draw, 2.3 @ bet365
sunderland - man utd, man utd, 1.86 @ pinnacle

barnsley - cardiff, cardiff +0, 1.82 @ pinnacle
ipswich - leeds, ipswich -0.25, 1.8 @ pinnacle

real sociedad - espanyol, real sociedad +0, 1.63 @ pinnacle

 

[RobertMichael]

HRC NCAA PREMIUM-Saturday, October 2nd
Capper: Robcat (Handicappers Paradise)

========================
2* Action (non-rated)
5* Selection
8* Premium
10* Premium
15* Diamond
*******************************
Selections:
[119] Va Tech- NC State UNDER|5*|54|B+0|Network N/A|@ 12:00 pm EST

[127] Temple |5*|-5|B+0|Metwork N/A|@ 12:00 pm EST

[161] Utep |5*|-14.5|B+0|Network N/A|@ 6:00 pm EST

[115] Michigan |5*|-9.5|B+0|Network N/A|@ 3:30 pm EST

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GARY OLSHAN’S RELEASES FOR SATURDAY, OCTOBER 2:

COLLEGE FOOTBALL:

VANDERBILT (+ 7 ½) over Connecticut–home 9:00 AM
NORTHWESTERN (-5 ½) over Minnesota–home 9:00 AM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE (+4)–home over Virginia Tech–home 12:30
MICHIGAN STATE (+2) –home over Wisconsin 9:00 AM
NAVY (+10) over Air Force–home 11:30 AM
STANFORD (+7) over Oregon–home 5:10 PM
IOWA (-7)–home over Penn State 5:00 PM